As the speed of autonomous vehicle manufacturing and deployment increases, the safety of autonomous vehicles becomes even more important. For that reason, researchers are investing in the creation of metrics and tools to track the safety of autonomous vehicles. As reported by ScienceDaily, a research team from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign have used machine learning algorithms to create a scalable autonomous vehicle safety analysis platform, utilizing both hardware and software improvements to do so.
Improving the safety of autonomous vehicles has remained one of the more difficult tasks in AI, because of the many variables involved in the task. Not only are the sensors and algorithms involved in the vehicle extremely complex, but there are many external conditions that are constantly in flux, such as road conditions, topography, weather, lighting and traffic.
The landscape and algorithms of autonomous vehicles are both constantly changing, and companies need a way to keep up with the changes and respond to new issues. The Illinois researchers are working on a platform that lets companies address recently identified safety concerns in a quick, cost-effective method. However, the sheer complexity of the systems that drive autonomous vehicles make this a massive undertaking. The research team is designing a system that will be able to keep track of and update autonomous vehicle systems that contain dozens of processors and accelerators running millions of lines of code.
In general, autonomous vehicles drive quite safely. However, when a failure or unexpected event occurs, an autonomous vehicle is currently more likely to get in an accident than human drivers, as the vehicle often has trouble negotiating sudden emergencies. While it is admittedly difficult to quantify how safe autonomous vehicles are and what is to blame for accidents, it is obvious that failures of a vehicle going at 70 mph down a road could prove extremely dangerous, hence the need to improve the handling of emergencies by autonomous vehicles.
Saurabh Jha, a doctoral candidate and one of the researchers involved with the program, explained to ScienceDaily the need to improve failure handling in autonomous vehicles. Jha explained:
“If a driver of a typical car senses a problem such as vehicle drift or pull, the driver can adjust his/her behavior and guide the car to a safe stopping point. However, the behavior of the autonomous vehicle may be unpredictable in such a scenario unless the autonomous vehicle is explicitly trained for such problems. In the real world, there are an infinite number of such cases.”
The researchers are aiming to solve this problem by gathering and analyzing data involving safety reports submitted by autonomous vehicle companies. Companies like Waymo and Uber are required to submit reports to the DMV in California at least annually. These reports contain data on statistics like how far cars have driven, how many accidents occured, and what conditions the vehicles were operating under.
The University of Illinois research team analyzed reports covering the years 2014 to 2017. During this period, autonomous vehicles drove around 1,116,000 miles distributed across 144 different vehicles. According to the findings of the research team, when compared with the same distance driven by human drivers, accidents were 4000 times more likely to occur. The accidents may imply that the AI of the vehicle failed to properly disengage and avoid the accident, relying instead on the human driver to take over.
It’s difficult to diagnose potential errors in the hardware or software of the autonomous vehicle because many errors will manifest only under the correct conditions. It also isn’t feasible to conduct tests under every possible condition that could occur on the road. Instead of collecting data on hundreds of thousands of real miles logged by autonomous vehicles, the research team is utilizing simulated environments to drastically reduce the amount of money and time spent in generating data for the training of AVs.
The research team uses the generated data to explore situations where AV failures can happen and safety issues can occur. It appears that utilizing the simulations can genuinely help companies find safety risks they wouldn’t be able to otherwise. For instance, when the team tested the Apollo AV, created by Baidu, they isolated over 500 instances where the AV failed to handle an emergency situation and an accident occurred as a result. The research team hopes that other companies will make use of their testing platform and improve the safety of their autonomous vehicles.
Deep Learning Used to Find Disease-Related Genes
A new study led by researchers at Linköping University demonstrates how an artificial neural network (ANN) can reveal large amounts of gene expression data, and it can lead to the discovery of groups of disease-related genes. The study was published in Nature Communications, and the scientists want the method to be applied within precision medicine and individualized treatment.
Scientists are currently developing maps of biological networks that are based on how different proteins or genes interact with each other. The new study involves the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in order to find out if biological networks can be discovered through the use of deep learning. Artificial neural networks, which are trained by experimental data in the process of deep learning, are able to find patterns within massive amounts of complex data. Because of this, they are often used in applications such as image recognition. Even with its seemingly enormous potential, the use of this machine learning method has been limited within biological research.
Sanjiv Dwivedi is a postdoc in the Department of Physics, Chemistry and Biology (IFM) at Linköping University.
“We have for the first time used deep learning to find disease-related genes. This is a very powerful method in the analysis of huge amounts of biological information, or ‘big data’,” says Dwivedi.
The scientists relied on a large database with information regarding the expression patterns of 20,000 genes in a large number of people. The artificial neural network was not told which gene expression patterns were from people with diseases, or which ones were from healthy individuals. The AI model was then trained to find patterns of gene expression.
One of the mysteries surrounding machine learning is that it is currently impossible to see how an artificial neural network gets to its final result. It is only possible to see the information that goes in and the information that is produced, but everything that happens in-between consists of several layers of mathematically processed information. These inner workings of an artificial neural network are not yet able to be deciphered. The scientists wanted to know if there were any similarities between the designs of the neural network and the familiar biological networks.
Mike Gustafsson is a senior lecturer at IFM and leads the study.
“When we analysed our neural network, it turned out that the first hidden layer represented to a large extent interactions between various proteins. Deeper in the model, in contrast, on the third level, we found groups of different cell types. It’s extremely interesting that this type of biologically relevant grouping is automatically produced, given that our network has started from unclassified gene expression data,” says Gustafsson.
The scientists then wanted to know if their model of gene expression was capable of being used to determine which gene expression patterns are associated with disease and which are normal. They were able to confirm that the model can discover relative patterns that agree with biological mechanisms in the body. Another discovery was that the artificial neural network could possibly discover brand new patterns since it was trained with unclassified data. The researchers will now investigate previously unknown patterns and whether they are relevant within biology.
“We believe that the key to progress in the field is to understand the neural network. This can teach us new things about biological contexts, such as diseases in which many factors interact. And we believe that our method gives models that are easier to generalise and that can be used for many different types of biological information,” says Gustafsson.
Through collaborations with medical researchers, Gustafsson hopes to apply the method in precision medicine. This could help determine which specific types of medicine patients should receive.
The study was financially supported by the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research (SSF) and the Swedish Research Council.
Deep Learning System Can Accurately Predict Extreme Weather
Engineers at Rice University have developed a deep learning system that is capable of accurately predicting extreme weather events up to five days in advance. The system, which taught itself, only requires minimal information about current weather conditions in order to make the predictions.
Part of the system’s training involves examining hundreds of pairs of maps, and each map indicates surface temperatures and air pressures at five-kilometers height. Those conditions are shown several days apart. The training also presents scenarios that produced extreme weather, such as hot and cold spells that can cause heat waves and winter storms. Upon completing the training, the deep learning system was able to make five-day forecasts of extreme weather based on maps it had not previously seen, with an accuracy rate of 85%.
According to Pedram Hassanzadeh, co-author of the study which was published online in the American Geophysical Union’s Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, the system could be used as a tool and act as an early warning for weather forecasters. It will be especially useful for learning more about certain atmospheric conditions that cause extreme weather scenarios.
Because of the invention of computer-based numerical weather prediction (NWP) in the 1950s, day-to-day weather forecasts have continued to improve. However, NWP is not able to make reliable predictions about extreme weather events, such as heat waves.
“It may be that we need faster supercomputers to solve the governing equations of the numerical weather prediction models at higher resolutions,” said Hassanzadeh, an assistant professor of mechanical engineering and of Earth, environmental and planetary sciences at Rice University. “But because we don’t fully understand the physics and precursor conditions of extreme-causing weather patterns, it’s also possible that the equations aren’t fully accurate, and they won’t produce better forecasts, no matter how much computing power we put in.”
In 2017, Hassanzadeh was joined by study co-authors and graduate students Ashesh Chattopadhyay and Ebrahim Nabizadeh. Together, they set out on a different path.
“When you get these heat waves or cold spells, if you look at the weather map, you are often going to see some weird behavior in the jet stream, abnormal things like large waves or a big high-pressure system that is not moving at all,” Hassanzadeh said. “It seemed like this was a pattern recognition problem. So we decided to try to reformulate extreme weather forecasting as a pattern-recognition problem rather than a numerical problem.”
“We decided to train our model by showing it a lot of pressure patterns in the five kilometers above the Earth, and telling it, for each one, ‘This one didn’t cause extreme weather. This one caused a heat wave in California. This one didn’t cause anything. This one caused a cold spell in the Northeast,'” Hassanzadeh continued. “Not anything specific like Houston versus Dallas, but more of a sense of the regional area.”
Prior to computers, analog forecasting was used for weather prediction. It was done in a very similar way to the new system, but it was humans instead of computers.
“One way prediction was done before computers is they would look at the pressure system pattern today, and then go to a catalog of previous patterns and compare and try to find an analog, a closely similar pattern,” Hassanzadeh said. “If that one led to rain over France after three days, the forecast would be for rain in France.”
Now, neural networks can learn on their own and do not necessarily need to rely on humans to find connections.
“It didn’t matter that we don’t fully understand the precursors because the neural network learned to find those connections itself,” Hassanzadeh said. “It learned which patterns were critical for extreme weather, and it used those to find the best analog.”
To test their concept, the team relied on data taken from realistic computer simulations. They originally reported early results with a convolutional neural network, but the team then shifted towards capsule neural networks. Convolutional neural networks are not able to recognize relative spatial relationships, but capsule neural networks can. These relative spatial relationships are important when it comes to the evolution of weather patterns.
“The relative positions of pressure patterns, the highs and lows you see on weather maps, are the key factor in determining how weather evolves,” Hassanzadeh said.
Capsule neural networks also require less training data than convolutional neural networks.
The team will continue to work on the system in order for it to be capable of being used in operational forecasting, but Hassanzadeh hopes that it eventually will lead to more accurate forecasts for extreme weather.
“We are not suggesting that at the end of the day this is going to replace NWP,” he said. “But this might be a useful guide for NWP. Computationally, this could be a super cheap way to provide some guidance, an early warning, that allows you to focus NWP resources specifically where extreme weather is likely.”
“We want to leverage ideas from explainable AI (artificial intelligence) to interpret what the neural network is doing,” he said. “This might help us identify the precursors to extreme-causing weather patterns and improve our understanding of their physics.”
Moon Jellyfish and Neural Networks
Moon jellyfish (Aurelia aurita), which are present in almost all of the world’s oceans, are now being studied by researchers to learn how their neural networks function. By using their translucent bells that measure from three to 30 centimeters, the cnidarians are capable of moving around very efficiently.
“These jellyfish have ring-shaped muscles that contract, thereby pushing the water out of the bell,” Pallasdies explains.
The efficiency of their movements comes from the ability of the moon jellyfish to create vortices at the edge of their bell, in turn increasing propulsion.
“Furthermore, only the contraction of the bell requires muscle power; the expansion happens automatically because the tissue is elastic and returns to its original shape,” continues Pallasdies.
The group of scientists has now developed a mathematical model of the neural networks of moon jellyfish. It is used to investigate the neural networks and how they regulate the movement of the moon jellyfish.
Professor Dr. Raoul-Martin Memmesheimer is the head of the research group.
“Jellyfish are among the oldest and simplest organisms that move around in water,” he says.
The team will now look at the origins of its nervous system and other organisms.
Jellyfish have been studied for decades, and extensive experimental neurophysiological data was collected between the 1950s and 1980s. The researchers at the University of Bonn used the data to develop their mathematical model. They studied individual nerve cells, nerve cell networks, the entire animal, and the surrounding water.
“The model can be used to answer the question of how the excitation of individual nerve cells results in the movement of the moon jellyfish,” says Pallasdies.
Moon jellyfish are able to perceive their location through light stimuli and with a balance organ. The animal has ways of correcting itself when turned by the ocean current. This often involves compensating for the movement and going towards the water surface. The researchers confirmed through their mathematical model that the jellyfish use one neural network for swimming straight ahead and two for rotational movements.
The activity of the nerve cells move throughout the jellyfish’s bell in a wave-like pattern, and the locomotion works even when large portions of the bell are injured. Scientists at the University of Bonn are now able to explain this with their simulations.
“Jellyfish can pick up and transmit signals on their bell at any point,” says Pallasdies. “When one nerve cell fires, the others fire as well, even if sections of the bell are impaired.”
The moon jellyfish is the latest species of animals in which neural networks are being studied. The natural environment can provide many answers to new questions revolving around neural networks, artificial intelligence, robotics, and more. Currently, underwater robots are being developed based on the swimming principles of jellyfish.
“Perhaps our study can help to improve the autonomous control of these robots,” Pallasdies says.
The scientists hope that their research and ongoing work will help explain the early evolution of neural networks.